The HAVOC Threat Assessment Score

The HAVOC Threat Assessment Score (H-TAS) is the primary system used by HAVOC to identify, classify, and manage persons of interest (POIs) whose existence or behavior may pose a risk to planetary stability, interdimensional integrity, public safety, or allied security structures.

Whether metahuman, magical, alien, or artificially enhanced, all POIs must be evaluated using a standard, quantifiable model that removes bias and operates on power and intent—not reputation, public image, or political alignment.

SECTION II: THE THREAT ASSESSMENT MODEL (H-TAS)

The H-TAS is the combination of two core data points:

ABILITY MATRIX (AM)

This rating assesses the innate, external, or augmented power of the POI. It measures what they can do—not whether they will do it.

A “+” modifier (e.g., Sigma+) indicates potential for unknown growth or mutation, often due to unstable biology, magical volatility, or artificial augmentation.

CAPABILITY MATRIX (CM)

This metric evaluates the likelihood of the POI acting against the interests of global peace, public safety, or planetary integrity. It is calculated using a proprietary behavioral model, including:

• Psychosocial Risk Analysis
• Criminal History
• Environmental Triggers
• Affiliations & Ideological Background
• Emotional Volatility
• Exposure to Reality-Warping Events
• Recent Life Events (e.g., death, betrayal, trauma, ascension)

CM scores are from 0–100:

Note: The Capability Matrix (CM) is subject to change annually or upon any major life event. Rapid reassessments are conducted following key psychological breaks, violent episodes, power surges, or known shifts in allegiance.

SECTION III: COMBINED THREAT SCORE (H-TAS)

The final H-TAS designation is rendered in the following format:

ABILITY CLASS – CAPABILITY SCORE
e.g., Gamma-74 | Sigma+-39 | Null-100

This score provides HAVOC teams, partner organizations, and planetary defense systems with a clear threat classification, which directly informs:

• Monitoring Frequency
• Countermeasure Development
• International Coordination (UN, IUSM, Magic Council, etc.)
• Detainment or Neutralization Protocols

SECTION IV: THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE ABILITY MATRIX (AM) AND CAPABILITY MATRIX (CM)

The HAVOC Threat Assessment Score (H-TAS) is derived from the combination of two distinct yet complementary data points: the Ability Matrix (AM) and the Capability Matrix (CM). While both matrices are integral to evaluating a person's threat level, they focus on different aspects of the potential risk posed by a Person of Interest (POI). Understanding the distinction between the two is essential to accurately assess both a POI's raw potential and the likelihood of their actions aligning with global threats.

The Ability Matrix (AM): What the POI Can Do

The Ability Matrix (AM) measures the raw power and potential capabilities of the POI. It assesses the scale, scope, and extent of their powers—whether these are inherent, augmented, or artificially enhanced. The AM is objective, relying solely on the observable or known abilities of a POI, without regard to their personal motivations, past behaviors, or emotional state. The AM categorizes a POI’s power according to a tiered scale, ranging from basic human abilities (Null) to godlike cosmic threats (Omega).

Key features of the AM:

• Focus on power: It answers the question: What is the POI capable of?
• Objective measurement: The AM is based on observable data and does not take intent, behavioral history, or psychological factors into account.
• Classification by potential: The AM is classified in levels from ∅ (Null) to Ω (Omega), with each level representing increasing power, from baseline human abilities to reality-warping cosmic forces.

The AM provides an understanding of how dangerous the POI is from a purely power-based perspective. For example, a POI classified as Sigma- may possess powers capable of causing regional or even global destruction. However, this classification does not assume that they will act destructively—it simply reflects the magnitude of their potential.

The Capability Matrix (CM): The Likelihood of Acting Against Global Security

The Capability Matrix (CM), on the other hand, evaluates the likelihood that the POI will use its power or influence in a way that could harm planetary stability, interdimensional integrity, or public safety. This matrix takes into account numerous psychological, social, and environmental factors, including the POI's intentions, past actions, affiliations, emotional state, and life events. Unlike the AM, the CM focuses on behavior and intent—what the POI might do—rather than their raw ability.

Key features of the CM:

• Focus on behavior and intent: The CM assesses how likely the POI is to use their abilities in harmful or disruptive ways, considering both internal and external influences.
• Psychosocial and situational analysis: Factors such as criminal history, emotional volatility, affiliations, exposure to traumatic events, and ideological beliefs play a significant role in determining the CM score.
• Risk categorization: The CM score is assigned a number between 0 and 100, indicating the level of threat from passive to global catastrophic. A POI might have immense power but a low CM score if it exhibits little desire or motive to use it maliciously.

The CM provides a more nuanced understanding of how likely a POI is to actively engage in dangerous behavior, considering their mental and emotional state, as well as their current circumstances. For example, a POI with an Omega-rated ability may only have a CM score of 30 (Dormant Threat) if they have shown no intent to act on their powers.

How the AM and CM Interact in the H-TAS

While the Ability Matrix (AM) gives insight into the sheer destructive potential of the POI, the Capability Matrix (CM) evaluates how likely they are to use that potential in ways that could jeopardize planetary or interdimensional security. Both matrices are necessary to fully assess the POI’s threat level:

• AM provides the maximum potential threat that a POI can pose based on their powers.
• CM determines the likelihood that the POI will act on that potential, considering their behavioral tendencies, motivations, and other external factors.

For example, a POI may have a Gamma classification in the AM (indicating significant power), but their CM score might fall in the Passive or Dormant Threat range if they have not demonstrated any inclination to act on their abilities. On the other hand, a POI with a Beta rating in the AM could have a CM score in the Active Threat or even Global Catastrophic Threat range if they have previously engaged in violent actions or show a strong intent to cause harm.

In combination, the H-TAS gives a holistic view of the POI’s threat, factoring in both their power and their likelihood of acting on it. For instance, a score of Sigma+-39 might indicate a POI who has extreme potential but is currently considered a dormant or conditional threat, whereas a score of Alpha-89 could indicate a POI with limited abilities but an aggressive, active inclination toward violence.

By distinguishing between the Ability Matrix and Capability Matrix, HAVOC can create more accurate, informed threat assessments, ensuring that response strategies are based not only on the raw strength of a POI but also on their psychological profile, behavioral patterns, and situational triggers.

Do not measure them by power alone. The most dangerous force is ambition with purpose

— Director Valen J. Thorn, HAVOC Oversight Command